2018 Kentucky Derby Logo

Handicapping the 2018 Kentucky Derby!

.. 1st Saturday in May will be here Sooner than You Think ..

Will we get another Triple Crown Winner?
triple crown flowers 2017

kentucky derby logo 2017

to see 2018 Kentucky Derby Prep Race Schedule
and Results Click Here....

to see 2018 Kentucky Derby Points Leader Board

NEWS ALERTS:  Bravazo (21-1) Upsets in the Risen Star S.   ...
                            Paved (f) Wins the El Camino Real Derby .....  
                            My Boy Jack (8-1) Wins the Southwest S. ....... 

Wins Santa Anita Derby Wins the Wood Memorial Arkansas Derby Wins Kentucky Derby Prep raceWins Kentucky Prep race

Prep races up next on the Road to Kentucky Derby 143 is the Fountain of Youth S. at Gulfstream Park on Saturday Mar. 3rd.

Derby Points increase to 50-20-10-5.

On European Road to the Kentucky Derby there are two races on Mar. 1st at Kempton Park is the Condition Stakes S. and on Mar. 2nd at Dundalk is the Patton S. Derby Points are 20-8-4-2.

Kentucky Derby Points Based Entry System

Super Saver Wins Kentucky DerbyWith the NEW Points based system, the Road to the Kentucky Derby actually began last September with the running of the Iroquois at Churchill Downs!

After 29 years of using the graded stakes earnings system to determine the 20 horse Derby field, 2013 was the first year Churchill Downs switched to the tiered points based system that would be accumulated over a 35 race series. The previous system include 185 Graded Stakes races where earnings could be accumulated.
In those five years, the Point System has produced five post time FAVORITES as the Kentucky Derby winner!

Prior to that there were ONLY 3 winning Favorites in the previous 12 years!

The Point system de-values the 2-year old racing campaign and places more value in the final prep races known as the Big 6. These races are also known as the 100 Point races as the winner earns 100 Derby Points and automatic entry  to the Run for the Roses on the first Saturday in May!

The Point system also eliminates sprint races from the qualifying prep races (which may NOT have been a good thing).

New this year is the "European Road to the Derby" prep races. One spot in the Kentucky Derby field will be reserved for the Top Point earner in a six race series held in Europe at six different tracks. If none of the European  horses come over to run, their reserved spot will revert back to the U.S. Points Leaderboard.

For the year there is the "Japan Road to the Derby" prep races. One spot in the Kentucky Derby field will be reserved for the Top Point earner in a three race series held in Japan. If none of the Japan horses come over to run, their reserved spot will revert back to the U.S. Points Leaderboard.

To see the current list of Top 2018 Derby Point Leaders click here.

Churchill Downs Kentucky Derby However, it is not necessary to win one of those 15  big prep races to get in. By finishing 2nd or 3rd in just 1 or 2 prep-races you should earn enough points to finish in the top 20.

In 2010 the Kentucky Derby winner Super Saver did not win any of the 3-year old Prep-races but still had enough earnings by finishing 2nd in the Arkansas Derby after having won the KY Cup Juvenile in his 2-year old campaign. He would still make the Derby field under the new Points system!

Other recent Kentucky Derby winners who did not have a 3-year old Prep-race win are Mine That Bird (50-1), Giacomo (50-1) and Funny Cide (12-1) ... ALL of whom would still make the Kentucky Derby starting gate in under the new Point system!

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pools

For the third year, Churchill Downs added a Future Wager Pool based on Sires of whom ever the Derby winner will be! It also has 24 entries with "All Others" being the 24th.

Sire Pool of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager closed with $27,731 being wagered.
The "All Others" closed as the co-favorite at (5-1) along with Medaglia d'Oro next was Curlin at (6-1) followed by Tapit at (8-1).

Pool 1 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager
closed with $177,103 being wagered.
The "Field" closed as the odds on favorite at (6/5). Bolt d'Oro at (7-1) followed by  Good Magic finished as the 2nd favorite at (11-1) followed by
McKinzie (12-1).

Click here to see a complete list of the final Pool 1 Derby Future Wager odds.

Click here to watch video replays of the major Kentucky Derby Prep races. 

Winning Derby Profile
The major Derby Prep races have created a lot of questions during the lead up to May 6 that has left us all confused with the inconsistency and lack of clarity!
One thing that does not change very much over the years is the Proven Winning Derby Profile.
Year-in and year-out, the Winning Derby Profile proves itself. The Winning Profile consists of the horse's 2-year old and 3-year old racing campaigns and their pedigree lines.
Yes, a horse can have raced too much or too little in their 2 and 3-year old campaigns.
If the horse does not have the proper amount of conditioning and experience, it becomes just too difficult for them to win the difficult 1 1/4 Mile distance of the Kentucky Derby! (however this is changing somewhat with the new Point system)

Pedigree is critical to having a legitimate shot at winning the Kentucky Derby.
 Buckpasser, War Admiral, Mahmoud, Nassrullah, Raise A Native, Phalaris are ALL critical bloodlines to have, if you want to win the 1 1/4 Mile distance of the Kentucky Derby as a 3-year old!

Did you know that 39 of the last 60 1st and 2nd place finishers had the passing of the X-Chromosomes of War Admiral or Mahmoud in the correct position for inheritance?

It even gets better ... 19 of the last 21 Derby winners had this powerful pedigree!

In 13 of the past 15 Kentucky Derby(s) the Winner had the "Large-Heart" trait.

That is correct, Nyquist (2016 - $6.60), American Pharoah (2015 - $7.80), California Chrome (2014 - $7.00), Orb (2013 - $12.80), Animal Kingdom (2011 - $43.80), Super Saver (2010 - $18.00), Big Brown (2008 - $6.80), Street Sense (2007 - $11.80), 2006 (Barbaro - $14.20), 2004 (Smarty Jones - $10.20), 2003 (Funny Cide - $27.60), 2002 (War Emblem - $43.00), 2001 (Monarchos - $23.00).

Only Always Dreaming (2016) and Giacomo (50-1) in 2005 did not carry this pedigree trail!

You Can Pre-Order the 2018 Edition Now!

Last year 3 of the top 4 finishers, Lookin At Lee, Battle of Midway and Classic Empire had the "Large-Heart" pedigree trait.

In 2016 Nyquist, Gun Runner and Mohaymen all carried this pedigree trait.

In 2015 American Pharoah, Firing Line and Dortmund ALL had the "Large-Heart" pedigree trait.

In 2013 the top (3) finishers ALL had the "Large-Heart" pedigree trait. The Exacta paid $981 and the $1 Trifecta paid $3,463!

In 2010 the 4 Top finishers ALL had the X-Chromosome of War Admiral or Mahmoud. The Trifecta paid $1,169 for a $1 wager and the $1 Superfecta paid a whopping $101,285! 

In 2008 the 1st, 2nd and 3rd place runners ALL had the X-Chromosome of War Admiral or Mahmoud. The Trifecta paid $3,445.60!

In 2002 ALL 4 of the top finishers had the "Large-Heart" trait in their pedigree. The Exacta paid $1,300, Trifecta was $18,373 and the Superfecta returned $91,764 ......... 

The X-Chromosome is known as the "Large-Heart" trait which allows for pumping more oxygen to the blood. Secretariat's 31 length romp in the Belmont Stakes is attributed to him having this pedigree trait! After his death an autopsy was done and it was determined that his heart weighed 22 lbs. The normal thoroughbred heart weighs 8 lbs.

Did  you know that 21 of the past 31 Derby(s) a horse with Buckpasser in the proper position of their bloodline Won or Came in 2nd? (13 of those won)?

The 2016 winner Nyquist had this CRITICAL pedigree!

In 2015 American Pharoah and the 4th place finisher Frosted had the Buckpasser pedigree.

In 2010 BOTH Super Saver and Ice Box carried this bloodline.

In 2002 BOTH the winner & 2nd Place horses, War Emblem and Proud Citizen had the Buckpasser bloodlines and the Exacta paid $1,300 and the Trifecta was $18,373. The Derby winner paid $43.00 and the Place payoff for Proud Citizen was $24.60!

In 2003 BOTH the Derby winner and 2nd Place horses, Funny Cide and Empire Maker traced back to Buckpasser and the Exacta paid $97.00 Just imagine if you had made a $20 Exacta bet ... you would have gotten back $970.00! The winner Funny Cide paid $27.60 for every $2 wager.

In 2005, the year of the biggest upset in over 100 years (Giacomo won at 50-1) the 2nd Place horse Closing Argument had the Buckpasser bloodline and he paid $70.00. The Giacomo / Closing Argument Exacta paid $9,814.80!

In 2006 when Barbaro won, the 2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishers traced back to Buckpasser. Bluegrass Cat paid $28.40 to Place. The Exacta paid $587.00, Trifecta was $11,418.40 and with a deadheat for 4th, the Superfecta(s) paid $42,430.20 and $29,919.50!

Did You know  22 of the past 35 winners (71%) trace their broodmare sire line back to Princequillo, Nassrullah, Northern Dancer or Turn To.

9 of the last 15 Derby winners had this pedigree. Always Dreaming (2017), Nyquist (2016), American Pharoah (2015),  Super Saver (2010), Big Brown (2008), Street Sense (2007), Giacomo (2005), Funny Cide (2003) and Monarchos (2001).

That is correct the 50-1 winner Giacomo had the broodmare sire bloodline of Turn-To.

Last year the top 4 finishers had this pedigree bloodline factor. The Exacta paid $336, Trifecta was $16,594 and the Superfecta paid $75,974.

In 2016 the top 4 finishers had this pedigree bloodline factor. The Exacta paid $30.60, Trifecta was $173 and the Superfecta paid $1,084.

In 2003 ALL 4 of the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishers also had this pedigree bloodlines. The Exacta paid $97.00, Trifecta was $664.80 and the Superfecta paid $2,795.80.

Do you think it would be advantageous to your handicapping process to know which Kentucky Derby runners had these pedigree lines?

Of course you do!

Again pedigree is MOST important when selecting your Derby horses. It proves itself year after year after year. Yet Millions of dollars are wagered every year on horses that do NOT have the pedigree necessary to win the Kentucky Derby!

Winning Derby Profile

If you do not know how to determine a horse's bloodlines that are necessary for winning the Kentucky Derby which requires a horse to have the stamina to last the 1 1/4 Mile distance, then you need to get the Proven Winning Derby Profile now!

You Can Pre-Order the 2018 Edition Now!

With the 20 horse field size of the Kentucky Derby, the chances of seeing a major upset with longshot runners finishing in the top 4 are very, very high!

Thus we ALL will have an opportunity to cash-in with a possible life changing Trifecta or Superfecta winning ticket.

2005 Kentucky Derby Winner GiacomoRemember 2005 when Giacomo won at odds of 50-1 and the $2 Exacta paid $9,814, the Trifecta gave back $133,134 and the $1 Superfecta paid a life changing $864,353?

The Proven Winning Derby Profile identified Giacomo as one of the MOST LIKELY horses to be in-the-money! He was not the top pick but was one of the main Contenders.

The 2005 payouts set all-time records with over $100 Million being wagered on the Derby race for the 1st time and the $864,253 payout for the $1 Superfecta set an all-time North American record.

The 10 year average for the Kentucky Derby payouts are :
  • the average $2 Win paid ........................  $25
  • the average $2 Exacta paid .................... $453
  • the average $1 Trifecta paid ............... $3,267
  • the average $1 Superfecta paid ....... $53,320
The large payouts are a result of the large 20 horse field and the large number of once a year uninformed players betting on horses that have NO chance of finishing in the top 4.

One of the MOST CRITICAL factors in the Proven Winning Derby Profile  has identified 14 of the last 18 Kentucky Derby winners!

Yes, Always Dreaming (2017), Nyquist (2016), American Pharoah (2015), California Chrome (2014), Orb (2012), Animal Kingdom (2011), Super Saver (2010), Big Brown (2008), Street Sense (2007), Barbaro (2006), Giacomo (2005), Smarty Jones (2004), Funny Cide (2003), War Emblem (2002), Monarchos (2001) and Fusaichi Pegasus (200) ALL had this FACTOR in their favor ....

If you knew what this factor was, do you think you would have a MUCH BETTER chance in picking the Kentucky Derby Winner?

Of course you do!

We are the ONLY handicapping service that publishes the results of our Picks year after year after year online, good, bad or indiffernt! You can see the results of our previous years Kentucky Derby Picks by clicking here

This time of year there are more uninformed, once a year players that bet on the names of horses, the number of the horse or the jockey that is wearing their favorite color of silks and sometimes the jockey or trainer that won last year's Kentucky Derby!

Don't be one of them......

Winning Derby Profile The secret to cracking the Kentucky Derby puzzle is arming yourself with better information so that you can separate the Derby Pretenders from the Derby Contenders serious and novice handicappers a much better opportunity to cash-in on those BIG payouts! . This provides both the

What is important is that you have a proven, thought out method of separating the Contenders from the Pretenders so that you can wager on the biggest horse race in America with CONFIDENCE!

The "Proven Winning Derby Profile" consists of the most critical FACTORS that have been found in Kentucky Derby winners over the past 28 years. These FACTORS prove themselves year-in and year-out to be the BEST method for ranking the Derby runners!

You Can Pre-Order the 2018 Edition Now!


Download FREE Wager Calculator!

Have you ever wished that you could easily calculate the cost of exotic wagering tickets before you placed the bet?

The Exotic Wager Calculator easily computes the cost of Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3, Pick 4. Pick 6 and High-5 tickets. It is a real time saver and a big help in deciding how many horses you want to use in the Exoctic wagers. 

To get your FREE copy of our Exotic Wager Calculator just fill in the form below ....









Horse Players Association Do you feel that the horse racing industry takes WE the player for granted?

Then consider joining the Horse-players Association of North America (H.A.N.A.). Membership is FREE!

They are a grass roots Non Profit organization made up of horse-players just like you.

They are not happy with track management and horseman's groups. They are less than thrilled with what they are doing to the game that we love. Instead of promoting awareness of the sport and growing handle they have become bogged down with industry infighting and have completely forgotten something: The importance of the customer.

We are tired of the signal wars, exclusive ADW deals, excessive takeouts, breakage, trainers who are rewarded for cheating, an obsolete tote system, and an attitude that smacks of entitlement. We want open access to all track signals for all ADWs, takeouts that are competitive with other forms of gambling, the abolishment of breakage, severe penalties for trainers who cheat, and odds updates in real time.

But most of all we want those who run racing to recognize us. The player matters. The player is a stakeholder too. Without money bet by us players the game would cease to exist. We can effect change. We can bring racing back to the prominence it once held in people's hearts on a national level.

But it won't be easy and it won't come overnight. It's going to take vision, commitment, and effort. But change IS possible... IF we band together in numbers. We are an independent grass roots player's organization that desires change. Won't you join us?


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