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2016 Belmont Stakes Logo

Countdown to the 2016 Belmont Stakes!

...  the Travers Stakes Up Next .....


triple crown flowers 2015

belmont stakes logo
 
to see Breeders' Cup Challenge Race Schedule
and Results Click Here....

to see Breeders' Cup Division Points Leaders
and Results Click Here....


NEWS ALERTS:  Songbird Remains Undefeated!  
 

 

Creator Wins Belmont Stakes

"Tough beat, he ran a great race" those were the words of Todd Pletcher trainer of Destin who got nosed-out at the wire by Creator for the win in the 3rd Leg of the Triple Crown series!

The 1 1/2 Mile distance of the Belmont Stakes was almost too short for Creator as he needed every bit of the marathon distance to get the win by a short nose!

The "Rabbit", Gettysburg, that his owners entered to ensure a quick enough early pace in what appeared to be a race with little pace, proved to be the correct move for Creator! Not so much for Destin who raced in second all the way around until he took the lead from the "Rabbit" at 1/4 pole.

Exaggerator, the Preakness Stakes winner, raced up a little closer than normal 5th place but when they got to the final turn he had nothing left in his tank and faded to finish 11th. His jockey eased off him when it was obvious he was not going to finish in the top 4.

Lani, the only other runner to have competed in all 3 of the Triple Crown races, ran a very good race to close from 12th to finish 3rd only beaten by 1 3/4 lengths.

Governor Malibu finished 4th after racing on the rail until he had to check up, as the "Rabbit" faded back to him, then moved out from but got his lane blocked and had to move back to the inside and still finished in-the-money!

It has been an exciting Triple Crown season as for the 8th time in the last 18 years we got a different winner in each of the 3 Legs.

Once again the Belmont Stakes Favorite gets beat. It has now been 24 times in the last 31 years that the Favorite went down!


Post Horse Jockey Win Place Show
PP13
Creator I. Irad $34.80 $14.60 $9.40
PP2
Destin J.J. Castellano
  $9.40 $6.20
PP10
Lani Y. Take     $6.60
PP1
Governor Malibu
J. Rosario     -
      EXOTIC PAYOFFS:
  $2.00 Exacta (13-2) $269.00
  $2.00 Trifecta (13-2-10) $2,751.00

$1.00 Superfecta (13-2-10-1) $1,396.50


Our Belmont Stakes & Full Card Picks Results:

The race did unfold as we thought it would with the exception of Destin not being able to hold on for the win!

With the lack of pace in the race, until Gettysburg was a late entry, and the large number of "from the back of the pack" Closers entered, we felt that the Pletcher duo and Exaggerator had the best shot at winning the race!

Even with the late entry of the "Rabbit", we felt that Destin and Exaggerator wouls have the advantage and as such we made Destin our Top pick to win the Belmont Stakes.

As the race unfolded Destin was the main presser to the "Rabbit". We thought it would be the other Pletcher runner Stradivari. Exaggerator was racing up closer to the pace setters just as we expected. He just could not handle the distance after running in all 3 Triple Crown races. That was not a big surprise!

Lani, the only other runner that participated in all 3 races, closed well again to finish a very good 3rd only beaten 2 3/4 lengths. We expected him to have another big showing as his pedigree said distance no problem.

Even the 4th place finisher, "New Shooter" Governor Malibu, ran a very credible race have to pull back and change course because the "Rabbit" faded back into his path. We also felt that Governor Malibu would run a very good race.

What we did not count on was Creator  being able to get up in time to grab the win!  We did feel that he had a very good chance for finishing in the money. A lot of times when a "Rabbit" is entered to help setup the race for his stable mate, it is because his stable mate just is not good enough to get the win.

Well in Creator's case it was just enough help for him to be able to grab victory away from Destin!

We explained in our Picks that our biggest concern with Exaggerator was his pedigree because his Dosage Index was over 3.00 at 3.80 and the average for the 1 1/2 Mile distance is 2.50. He also does not have the "X-Chromosome" Large-Heart" trait!

We did feel that the Belmont Stakes winner would be an upset and we felt that it would be Destin. Destin got beat by the smallest of margins, the hair of Creators nose!

In our selections we made Destin our A1 horse (Top Pick) and Exaggerator A2 horse (the one to beat).

Our B and C horses were Governor Malibu, Brody's Cause, Stradivari, Lani , Creator and Trojan Nation.

We had 6 of the top 6 across the finish line and we did not use the "Wise Guy" horse Suddenbreakingnews that got bet down to 5-1 odds and ran 9th.

In our wager recommendations we Keyed Destin and Exaggerator on top and in the middle of the Trifecta and Superfecta bets..

We also recommend playing a Win / Place wager along with Exacta using Destin on the bottom of the Field. Destin paid $9.40 for the Place and $269 for the Exacta.

It is now 25 of the past 32 years that the Belmont Stakes Favorite has LOST!

In our Full Card Selections:

We had (6) Exacta winners in the 13 races. They were: Race 1 ($102.00), Race 3 ($40.80), Race 4 ($80.00), Race 7 ($421.00), Race 10 ($18.20)  and Race 11 ($269.00).

Total - $931.00 for $2 wagers.

Cashed in on  (3) Trifectas - Race 1 ($103.75), Race 3 ($45.75) and Race 10 ($54.50).

Total - $204.00 for $1 wagers.

We also cashed in on (2) Superfectas in Race 1 ($217.00) and Race 3 ($70.25).

Total - $287.25 in $1 wagers

(7) Daily Doubles, Race 2 ($13.40), Race 3 ($6.80), Race 4 ($16.40), Race 5 ($26.00),  Race 6 ($101.75), Race 9 ($46.75) and Race 10 ($6.90).

Total - $218.00 for $1 wager.

We hit on (4) Pick 3 wagers in Race 3 ($47.50), Race 4 ($43.25), Race 7 ($672.50) and Race 10 ($86.75).

Total - $850.00 in $1 wagers

Grand Total Won - $2,490.25.

We had 9 of 13 winners in our Top 4 selections with (2) as our Top pick.

The track was rated Fast ALL day as there were ONLY (3) Favorites and (1) second Favorites Winning in the 13 races on the card. The average Win payoff in the (13) races was a Nice $13.14 ....

Next up is Summer racing with the The Gold Cup, Haskell, Whitney, Travers, Arlington Million and the Pacific Classic .....

The two premier Summer racing meets are DelMar in S. California and Saratoga in up state New York and they always produce big upsets throughout the summer!

DelMar Racing Saratoga Racing

After 37 years with no Triple Crown winner, last year American Pharoah finally conquered the coveted jewel and joined the elite group of the 11 previous winners.

But all hopes of getting a Triple Crown again this year ended when the Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist got beat by Exaggerator in the Preakness Stakes!

Will this be the 7th time in the last 17 years that we get a different winner in each of the 3 Legs of the Triple Crown series?

It occurred in 2011, 2010, 2009, 2007, 2006 and 2000.

Or will this be just the 3rd time since 1995 that there will be a Preakness-Belmont winner that did not win the Kentucky Derby?

Or will a "New Shooter" take down the Belmont Stakes?

The last Preakness Stakes winner to win the Belmont Stakes that did not also win the Kentucky Derby was Afleet Alex in 2005. Point Given also did it in 2001. 

American Pharoah in Preakness Stakes

Because of the grueling racing campaign of having 3 races in a short span of only 5 weeks,  we usually do not see many horses any longer run in ALL 3 legs because of the toll it takes on them.

We normally only see a horse compete in all 3 legs if they have a shot at winning the Triple Crown.

This year is no different as Exaggerator and Lani are the ONLY horses that will have run in ALL 3 legs.

It looks like there will be a field of 13 runners to tackle the marathon distance of 1 1/2 Mile known as the "Test of Champions" over the "Big Sandy" dirt track.

There are (6) horses that ran in the Kentucky Derby and skipped the Preakness: Suddenbreakingnews (5th), Destin (6th), Brody's Cause (7th), Creator (13th) and  Trojan Nation (16th).

There are two Preakness horses that skipped the Derby willing to try the 1 1/2 Mile distance at Belmont who thinks they can stop Exaggerator. They are Cherry Wine  (2nd) and Stradivari (4th). Could they win?

New faces to jump into the Triple Crown series are Governor Malibu, GettysburgForever d'Oro, Seeking the Soul.

 To Order Belmont Stakes Picks & Wagering Strategy Click Below....

 

California Chrome wins preakness The Belmont Stakes has not been a race where the post time favorite does well!

As a matter of fact, it is a race where BIG longshots can and do win!

(6) of the last (8) winners paid $20.00 or more.....

In 2014 Tonalist won and paid a very nice $20.40 and the Kentucky Derby winner California Chrome finished in a Deadheat for 4th.

In 2011 over a sloppy track Ruler On Ice won and paid $51.50 while the Kentucky Derby winner Animal Kingdom finished 6th after getting a horrible start.

In 2008 Da'Tara won at 39-1 when the favorite Big Brown finished last.

In 2004 Birdstone upset undefeated Smarty Jones at odds of 36-1. In 2002 Sarava upset War Emblem at odds of 70-1 and the list goes on!

In the past 18 years ONLY 3 post time favorites have been able to win the Belmont Stakes. 

Did you know that the 7 of the last 8 Odds-On Belmont favorites lost?

Exaggerator could be another odds-on favorite this year - depends on how large the field is!

That's correct ALL but 1 of them lost! California Chrome (2014) 4-5, Big Brown (2008) 1-5, Smarty Jones (2004) 1-5, Real Quiet (1998) 4-5, Sunday Silence (1989) 4-5, Alysheba (1987) 4-5, Pleasant Colony (1981) 4-5 and Spectacular Bid (1979) 1-5. (they were ALL trying to win the Triple Crown but came up short!)

The 10 year average for the Belmont Stakes payouts are:

  • the average $2 Win paid ......................... $27.04
  • the average $2 Exacta paid ................. $268.62
  • the average $1 Trifecta paid ........... $1,100.85
  • the average $1 Superfecta paid ...... $8,834.38                  

Remember the distance of the Belmont Stakes is 1  1/2 Mile and NONE of the horses have EVER raced at this longer distance before. The Belmont Stakes is 5/16 of a mile longer than the Preakness and if you do not think that is very much, just measure it off in your car and then walk it ...  you will find that it is considerable and certainly more than enough distance for anything to happen in a horse race!

Who Can Beat Exaggerator?

Pedigree will be very important for being able to handle the extra distance of the Belmont. Some horses excel at the longer distances and some can only handle the middle distance races like the Preakness.

Do you know which of the other horses have the Pedigree to carry the 1 1/2 Mile distance?

We do and it is  a MUST, if you want to hit the Exacta, Trifecta and Superfecta!

We also know which horses have the Pedigree that carry the "X-Chromosome" - Large-Heart trait of Secretariat. This "Large-Heart" trait is what allowed him to win the Belmont Stakes by a record 31 lengths! His heart was more than 3 times larger than the normal horse heart. As a result he was able to burn a lot more oxygen and get a lot more energy and power just like a race car motor does to go faster....


 To Order Belmont Stakes Picks & Wagering Strategy Click Below....

 

If you do not know which horses have the "X-Chromosome", then you need to get our Belmont Stakes Picks & Wagering Strategy which identifies those horses with this trait!

There are (1-4) New Shooters showing up to take on Exaggerator and try to stop him from completing the Preakness-Belmont Double! 

They are well rested and fit. It is critical that you know if their Pedigree can handle the Belmont distance of 1  1/2 Mile.

(5) of the last (9) Belmont Stakes winners did not run in the Kentucky Derby or the Preakness Stakes. Two years ago the 1st and 2nd place runners, Tonalist (9-1) & Commissioner (28-1), did not race in either of the first 2 Legs of the Triple Crown!

Just like in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes, the Belmont Stakes also has a Proven Winning Profile of it's own!

Did you know that in the past 37 years ONLY 7 post-time favorites won?

Did you know that 11 of the last 14 Belmont Stakes winners skipped the Preakness?

Do you know what the preferred running style is for winning the Belmont Stakes?

Do you know which horses have the PREFERRED bloodlines for being able to run the 1  1/2 Mile distance?

If you are not sure, then you need to get our Belmont Stakes Picks and Wagering Strategy!

Did you know that 16 of the last 22 Belmont Stakes winners traced their sire's pedigree line back to Raise A Native?

Exaggerator does have the Raise A Native sire pedigree line!

Do you know which of the OTHER horses in this years' Belmont has the Raise A Native sire pedigree line?

We do ...  and you will too when you get our Belmont Stakes Picks and Wagering Strategy!

Our pedigree handicapping methods have picked the Belmont Stakes winner in 7 of the last 14 years as well as the Exacta in  10 of those, the Trifecta in 7 and the Superfecta in 6 of those years!

 

We are the ONLY handicapping service that publishes the results of our Picks year after year after year online, regardless of the results! We do not take them down. You can see the results of our previous years Belmont Stakes Picks by clicking here







 

 To Order Belmont Stakes Picks & Wagering Strategy Click Below....

 

2016 Belmont Stakes Exaggerator

 


Exaggerator Rains Down his Revenge on Nyquist!
exaggerator wins Preakness
The Rematch in the Preakness - Part 5!

Before a record crowd of 135,256 on a rainy day, Exaggerator finally, in his 5th attempt, was able to defeat the undefeated, 2-year old Champion and Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist!
 
Exaggerator found the sloppy track to his liking as he has now won 3 of 4 races on a wet track!

Nyquist broke quickly from the gate with the lead and set strong early fractions. Uncle Lino went with him they pushed each other around the track putting very fast times. Exaggerator was racing 13 lengths behind them before he started to move up on the back stretch and then rode the rail around the final turn.

Nyquist managed to get the lead from Uncle Lino, but the fast times started to take their toll on him as the closing Exaggerator took the lead in the stretch to win by 3 1/2 lengths as the 5/2 second favorite.

Nyquist (3/5) just got nosed out by the closing Cherry Wine (16-1) and Stradivari (8-1) finished a close 4th.

Post Horse Jockey Win Place Show
PP5
Exaggerator K. Desormeaux $7.20 $3.20 $2.40
PP1
Cherry Wine C. Lanerie
  $9.80 $4.20
PP3
Nyquist M. Gutierrez     $2.20
PP11
Stradivari
J. Velazquez     -
      EXOTIC PAYOFFS:
  $2.00 Exacta (5-1) $88.40
  $2.00 Trifecta (5-1-3) $146.20

$1.00 Superfecta (5-1-3-11) $317.00

  Click here to see the Complete Preakness Stakes Order of Finish and Payoffs. 


Next up is the Belmont Stakes in 3 weeks and it looks like 4 of the top 5 finishers will run in the 3rd Leg of the Triple Crown series!



Our Preakness & Full Card Picks Results:

The race did not unfold as we hoped. With all the Early speed in here we preferred that Nyquist would rate just off it. But instead, his jock went with the front runner Uncle Lino and the two set very fast early fractions that took its toll on Nyquist when he hit the top of the stretch and Exaggerator  passed him to go on and win by3 1/2 lengths!

We explained in our Picks that our biggest concern with Nyquist was how he would handle the kickback of mud in his face coming from post no. 3 as he had always raced in the clear away from other horses and that would not happen in the Preakness unless he went straight to the lead.

Well his jockey thought the kickback would be a problem as he decided go for it from the start and that ended up being the wrong decision!

Then the day after the race it was discovered that Nyquist came down with a fever and will not run in the Belmont Stakes.....

We felt that the Preakness Stakes would pretty much be a rematch  of the Kentucky Derby top 2 finishers Nyquist and Exaggerator!

We did feel that Nyquist would win the race as we used him as our top selection.

If he was to get beat, we felt that Exaggerator would have the best shot and recommended a bet on him if we could get 3-1 odds. Well he went off at 5/2 odds and paid $7.20 for the win.

In our selections we made Nyquist our A1 horse (Top Pick).

Our B and C horses were Exaggerator, Lani, Uncle Lino, Awesome Speed and Stradivari.

We had 4 of the top 5 across the finish line but we did not use the longshot Cherry Wine (17-1)!

Cherry Wine just got a nose in front of Nyquist at the wire for 2nd.

We did recommend playing a Trifecta using Nyquist and Exaggerator on top and bottom and ALL in the middle. That wager paid $146.20 for a $2 wager.

It is now 29 of the past 32 Preakness Stakes that has been won by a KY Derby runner.

There was an $80,000 win wager placed on Stradivari about 4 hours prior to the start of the race that changed the odds on Nyquist from 3/5 to Even odds! At Post time however, the odds got back to normal as Nyquist went off at 3/5 odds and Stradivari was back to his morning line odds of 8-1.

In our Full Card Selections:

We had (8) Exacta winners in the 14 races. They were: Race 2 ($36.40), Race 3 ($36.00), Race 4 ($19.40), Race 7 ($33.80), Race 8 ($23.60), Race 9 ($8.00), Race 11 ($35.80) and Race 14 ($90.00).

Total - $283.00 for $2 wagers.

Cashed in on  (4) Trifectas - Race 2 ($132.40), Race 7 ($135.60), Race 8 ($63.00) and Race 13 ($146.20).

Total - $477.20 for $2 wagers.

We also cashed in on (2) Superfectas in Race 7 ($223.40) and Race 8 ($121.60).

Total - $345.00 in $1 wagers

(2) Daily Doubles, Race 8 ($4.80) and Race 9 ($6.20).

Total - $11.00 for $2 wager.

Grand Total Won - $1,116.20.

We had 8 of 14 winners in our Top 4 selections with (3) as our Top pick.

The track was rated Wet/Sloppy/Muddy ALL day with several Scratches as there were (5) Favorites and (4) second Favorites Winning in the 14 races on the card. The average Win payoff in the (14) races was a low $10.66 ....

Average payoff for the 50 Cent Pick 3 was a low $44.82 and the average for the $1 Daily Double was only $24.87!

So often when the races are run on a sloppy/muddy track the payouts for all wager types are on the low side. It is just a fact that Horseplayers have to put up with!

Next up is the Belmont Stakes - Leg 3 of the Triple Crown as it is looking like  we might have for the 5th time in the last 8 years a different winner in each leg of the Triple Crown series!

It is looking like 4 of the Top 5 Preakness runners will come back for the Belmont Stakes. They are Exaggerator, Cherry Wine, Stradivari and Lani.

Kentucky Derby runners that skipped the Preakness Stakes making a come-back in the Belmont Stakes that is well rested and ready for a big effort are Suddenbreakingnews (5th), Destin (6th), Brody's Cause (7th), Mo Tom (8th) and Creator (13th).

It is looking like there will only be 1 "New Shooter" looking to join in. It is  Governor Malibu (2nd in Peter Pan).

 To Order Belmont Stakes Picks & Wagering Strategy Click Below....



The Rematch in the Preakness Stakes!
Nyquist vs. Exaggerator
Nyquist vs Exaggerator

Up next is the middle jewel of horse racing's Triple Crown which is held on the 3rd Saturday in May .....

Nyquist looked strong in winning the Kentucky Derby as he pulled away from Gun Runner in the stretch but had to hold off a fast closing Exaggerator at the wire to win by a dwindling 1 1/4 lengths to remain undefeated in 8 career races!

Nyquist got a perfect trip in the Kentucky Derby. He was never running behind horses as the photo above shows. See how clean his face is compared to Exaggerator's!

It was his 7th Graded Stakes win with 5 of them Grade 1 races. He became just the 2nd Breeders' Cup Juvenile Champ. to also win the Kentucky Derby and 1st 2-year old Champion to be undefeated and win the Kentucky Derby since Affirmed in 1978!

So Nyquist looks to be a lock to win the Preakness Stakes .... right?

Not so fast there ....

His runner up, Exaggerator, is not backing away from him in the Preakness even though he has not beaten him in 4 tries (4-0-2-1). Why?

With the Preakness Stakes being 1/16th mile shorter than the Kentucky Derby, and Exaggerator's new found come from the back of the pack running style, you would think that he has no shot at beating Nyquist.

But his connections think differently. Could it be because they feel the NEW SHOOTERS in here will provide more up front early pace on Nyquist than he has seen previously and that pressure will make him vulnerable in the stretch?

We will not know until Saturday but I find it suspicious that Exaggerator's connections are not bypassing the Preakness and waiting for the Belmont Stakes!


Did you know that in the last 11 years ONLY 4 Kentucky Derby winners were able to win the Preakness Stakes?  .... They were  American Pharoah (2014), California Chrome (2014), I'll Have Another (2012) and  Big Brown (2008).

Last year American Pharoah, on the road to the Triple Crown, won the Kentucky Derby and looked to be a lock in the Preakness as he was the Odds-on favorite (4/5) as he won by an easy 7 lengths over a sloppy track!
 
The only other Derby runners taking on Nyquist again are Exaggerator (2nd) and Lani (9th) .

 
You can be sure that Nyquist does have a target on his back as (6-7) "New Shooters" that are rested and ready, are lining up to take their best shot at Nyquist. They include Cherry Wine, Collected, Fellowship, Laoban, Awesome Speed, Abiding Star and Stradivari.

In handicapping the Preakness Stakes you need to include the NEW shooters who almost always have a say in the Exotic wagers (Exacta, Trifecta and Superfecta) ...
 
Just like last year in a small field of 8 runners with 3 of them being new shooters, 2 of them came in 2nd (28-1) and 3rd (12-1) to American Pharoah (4/5) ... Exacta - $124 - Trifecta - $985 - Superfecta - $1,906!

Do you know which runners have the BEST chance of stopping Nyquist?
 
Will it be Exaggerator who challenged Nyquist at the wire or the other Derby runner that ran "Willingly" behind them and will be more involved in the race this time around?
 
Nyquist will no doubt be the odds-on favorite at Post Time as he tries to win the Triple Crown.

Did you know that 3 of the last 5 Preakness Favorites all LOST?  ... they were Orb (2013), Bodemeister (2012) and Animal Kingdom (2011)!

Did you know that the Derby 2nd place runner only won the Preakness once in the last 22 years?  ... it was Prairie Bayou in 1993.

The Preakness Stakes is limited to 14 runners and it looks like we will have 9-10 going to the starting gate. (3) horses from the Kentucky Derby and (6-7) new shooters.

 Do you know which of the new faces have the Pedigree for winning the Preakness Stakes?

If you are not aware of the importance of Pedigree for the Triple Crown races and it's importance for correctly picking the Exacta, Trifecta and Superfecta, then check out the "Box" below and review our recent years selections!
 
 

We are the ONLY handicapping service that publishes the results of our Picks year after year after year online, regardless of the results! You can see the results of our previous years Preakness Stakes Picks by clicking here

 

 To Order Preakness Stakes Picks Click Below....

Just like in the Kentucky Derby, there is a Winning Profile that has proven itself over the years at the Preakness and it is different from the Derby and Belmont Winning Profiles.
 
It is extremely difficult for 3-year old horses to meet the demands of 3 races at 3 different distances at 3 different tracks over a period of just 5 weeks!
 
Thus the difficulty of winning the Triple Crown  ...
 
Most people think that the Pimlico track is a early running pace speed track and that horses coming from off the pace can not win the Preakness Stakes.
 
That was true at one-time, however, the folks at Pimlico have done an excellent job in recent years to eliminate this track bias. They have also widened the turns so they are not so sharp, which had also helped the speed horses. The turns are now more like Churchill Downs!
 
Unfortunately, a lot of the jockeys still think they must be up front early in order to have a shot at winning the race. The big question is who will try to go fast early and try to steal the race in a wire-to-wire attempt like Gary Stevens did on Oxbow in 2013?

To Order Preakness Stakes Picks Click Below....
 
Remember Magic Weisner in 2002?
 
He came from out of the clouds to just miss catching speedster War Emblem at odds of 45-1 and made for a very nice Exacta, Trifecta and Superfecta payouts  ...  Exacta $327, Trifecta $2,311 and the $1 Superfecta gave back $6,701  ...
 
Our Preakness Stakes Picks utilizes the Proven Winning Profile to identify those horses that have the CORRECT pedigree for winning the 2nd Leg of the Triple Crown series.
 
It has been successful in 12 of the last 18 years in picking the winner!
 
Not only has it picked the winner but also the Exacta in 13 of the last 18 years, the Trifecta in 9 of those 18 years and even hit the Superfecta in 7 of those!
 
Included with the Preakness Picks is our powerful wagering strategy for the Exacta, Trifecta and Superfecta bets.
 
Just in case there is rain on Saturday, (there is a 100% chance of rain), we will also tell you which runners will like an wet track and which will not!
 
The last 3 times the Preakness was run on a sloppy track 2 of them produced  longshots winning. In 1983 Deputed Testimony paid $31.00 and in 1972 Bee Bee Bee paid $39.40
 
To win on a sloppy track or muddy track a horse must have a proven pedigree for winning on a off-track surface
 
Remember Exaggerator has 2 Wins on a Sloppy/Muddy track!
 
The key to making money on the Preakness Stakes is to hit the Trifecta and Superfecta tickets without requiring a large bankroll to get maximum coverage in a 14 horse field.
 
You will also be provided with a Link where you can download FREE Past Performances for ALL Preakness Stakes horses.

 To Get Preakness Stakes picks & Wagering strategy

Click Below. 

kentucky derby logo




Nyquist Scores in the Derby - Remains Undefeated!
 
Nyquist Wins Kentucky Derby

Before a near record crowd of 167,227 racing fans, Nyquist held off the fast closing charge from Exaggerator to win by a 1 1/4 lengths. Gun Runner hangs on for 3rd!

Nyquist becomes just the second Breeders' Cup Juvenile Champion to also win the Kentucky Derby.

Jockey Mario Gutierrez wins a second Kentucky Derby for these same owner and trainer, Paul Reddman and Doug O'Neill. Their other winner was I'll Have Another in 2012.

California based horses have now won 4 of the last 5 Kentucky Derbies! I'll Have Another, California Chrome, American Pharoah and Nyquist ......

The Superfecta was comprised of the 4 Favorites, in order! The Derby Favorites have now won the last 4 races - that is NOT good news for Horseplayers!

This was just the second time in the last 41 years that the Top 3 Favorites hit the board.

Post Horse Jockey Win Place Show
PP13
Nyquist M. Gutierrez $6.60 $4.80 $3.60
PP11
Exaggerator K. Desormeaux
  $5.40 $4.20
PP5
Gun Runner F. Geroux     $6.00
PP14
Mohaymen
J. Alvarado     -
      EXOTIC PAYOFFS:
  $2.00 Exacta (13-11) $30.60
  $2.00 Trifecta (13-11-5) $173.40

$2.00 Superfecta (13-11-5-14) $1,084.20

  Click here to see the Complete Derby Order of Finish and Payoffs. 



Our Derby & Full Card Picks Results:

Creator was our highest ranked horse in our "Proven Winning Derby Profile" . Exaggerator and Gun Runner ranked 4th and 5th in points.

Because Creator did not carry the "X-Chromosome" of War Admiral or Mahmoud (this pedigree is found in 98% of winners), we did not recommend using him on top of our selections but instead using him as our (A3) horse that could run in-the-money.

We did tell everyone that Nyquist was the horse to beat and that he could be beat. The reason why we did not like his chances to win was because he had a very high Dosage Index (DI) of 7.00.

ONLY 1 Kentucky Derby winner in the last 30+ years had a DI higher than 5.00, Strike the Gold in 1991 (which was later changed to 2.60).

With such a high DI, which means his pedigree favors speed not distance, we felt that the last 1/8th of a mile would be difficult for Nyquist to hang on!

In our selections we made Gun Runner (10-1) our Top selection to win.

Our B horses were were Suddenbreakingnews (B1), Majesto (B2) and Trojan Nation (B3) - our top contenders for being in-the-money behind our (A) selections!

Our C horses (those that should make it into the bottom of the Trifecta &  Superfecta were  Nyquist (C1), Mohaymen (C2) and Exaggerator (C3).

As you can see we had all of the first four horses across the finish line in our selections, just in reverse order!

Our Top selection Gun Runner (10-1) ran a very good race and had the lead at the top of the stretch but could not hang on. He gave us his best effort.

With the first 4 horses across the finish line being the 4 5 Favorites in order, the payouts were very low in Derby standards!

The 15 year average payouts are $1,178 - Exacta, $16,132 Trifecta, $110,378 Superfecta.

This year's Derby payouts were  $30 - Exacta, $173 Trifecta and $542 Superfecta!

The Superfecta payout was the lowest in Kentucky Derby history!

This makes for the fourth consecutive year that the Favorite has won the Kentucky Derby. That has not happened in a long, long time. Could this be a result of the new Derby Points system that has been in place the past 4 years?

Our "Proven Winning Derby Profile" again zeroed in on those runners that had the BEST chance of winning and being in-the-money!

For the 23rd time in the last 31 years, horses with the Buckpasser pedigree have won or come in 2nd. with 14 of those winning. Nyquist had the Buckpasser pedigree as well as Gun Runner!

Again the importance of the Raise A Native sire line prevailed as the runner up winner Exaggerator and third place finisher Gun Runner both have it!

Remember this pedigree line is also critical in winning the Belmont Stakes!

In our Full Card Selections:

We did not have a great day but was able to cash a few tickets.

Our Top selection won in (5) races. They were Race 1, 3, 6, 8 and 14.

Had (5 of 14) Exacta winners in our Top 4 picks. Race 1 ($27.40), R3 ($21.80), R6 ($12.20), R8 ($31.60) and R14 ($92.60).

Total - $185.60 for $2 wagers.

Cashed in on  (5) Trifectas - Race 1 ($66.40), R3 ($21.80), R6 ($80.40), R8 ($212.40) and R14 ($647.20).

Total - $1,112.40 for $2 wagers.

Also had (1)  Superfecta in R8 ($219.10).

Total - $219.10 in $1 wagers.

Grand Total Won - $1,517.10.

The track was rated FAST ALL day and played fair to all running styles as there were Only (4) winning Favorites in the 14 races on the card. The average Win payoff in the (14) races was a very nice $17.96 ....

Next up is the Preakness Stakes - Leg 2 of the Triple Crown......

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Kentucky Derby Saddle Cloth
This year's Kentucky Derby field looks to be one of the slowest in many, many years!

Case in point, only 4 runners have hit the 100 Beyer speed number with the highest being only 103. Most Derby winners had hit the 105 Beyer prior to the first Saturday in May!

Also, most Derby winners had hit the 100 Beyer speed number as a 2-year old. NONE in the field this year has been able to accomplish this feat!

Thus a very slow field ... but this also makes it one of the most closely matched fields that makes handicapping the race very difficult!

What is important is that you have a proven, thought-out method of separating the Main Contenders from the Pretenders so that you can wager on the biggest horse race in America with CONFIDENCE!

The "Proven Winning Derby Profile" consists of the most critical FACTORS that have been found in Kentucky Derby winners over the past 27 years. These FACTORS prove themselves year-in and year-out to be the BEST method for ranking the Derby runners!


Click here to watch video replays of the major Derby Prep races. 


Winning Derby Profile The major Derby Prep races has created a lot of questions during the lead up to May 7 and has left a lot of us confused!
 
One thing that does not change very much over the years is the Proven Winning Derby Profile.
 
Year-in and year-out, the Winning Derby Profile proves itself. The Winning Profile consists of the horse's 2-year old and 3-year old racing campaigns and their pedigree.
 
Yes, a horse can have raced too much or too little in their 2 and 3-year old campaigns.
 
If the horse does not have the proper amount of conditioning and experience, it becomes just too difficult for them to win the difficult 1 1/4 Mile distance of the Kentucky Derby! (however this is changing somewhat with the new Point system)

In 2010 the "Proven Winning Profile" ranked Ice Box as the top choice closely followed by Super Saver.

Because of the wet track Ice Box was not able to make up enough ground in the stretch run and finished 2nd to Super Saver! A $10 Exacta Box paid $380.
 
Pedigree is also critical to having a legitimate shot at winning the Kentucky Derby.
 
Buckpasser, War Admiral, Mahmoud, Nassrullah, Raise A Native, Phalaris are ALL critical bloodlines to have, if you want to win the 1 1/4 Mile distance of the Kentucky Derby as a 3-year old!
 

Did you know that 37 of the last 56 1st or 2nd place finishers had the passing of the X-Chromosomes of War Admiral or Mahmoud in the correct position for inheritance?

It even gets better ... 18 of the last 19 Derby winners had this powerful pedigree!

In 12 of the past 13 Kentucky Derby(s) the Winner had the "Large-Heart" trait. That is correct, American Pharoah (2015 - $7.80), California Chrome (2014 - $7.00), Orb (2013 - $12.80), Animal Kingdom (2011 - $43.80), Super Saver (2010 - $18.00), Big Brown (2008 - $6.80), Street Sense (2007 - $11.80), 2006 (Barbaro - $14.20), 2004 (Smarty Jones - $10.20), 2003 (Funny Cide - $27.60), 2002 (War Emblem - $43.00), 2001 (Monarchos - $23.00).

Only Giacomo (50-1) in 2005 did not carry this pedigree trail!

You Can Order and Download Now the 2016 Edition!

Last year American Pharoah, Firing Line and Dortmund ALL had the "Large-Heart" pedigree trait. The Exacta paid $72 and the Trifecta $202.

In 2013 the top (3) finishers ALL had the "Large-Heart" pedigree trait. The Exacta paid $981 and the $1 Trifecta paid $3,463!

In 2010 the 4 Top finishers ALL had the X-Chromosome of War Admiral or Mahmoud. The Trifecta paid $1,169 for a $1 wager and the $1 Superfecta paid a whopping $101,285! 

In 2008 the 1st, 2nd and 3rd place runners ALL had the X-Chromosome of War Admiral or Mahmoud. The Trifecta paid $3,445.60!

In 2002 ALL 4 of the top finishers had the "Large-Heart" trait in their pedigree. The Exacta paid $1,300, Trifecta was $18,373 and the Superfecta returned $91,764 ......... 

The X-Chromosome is known as the "Large-Heart" trait which allows for pumping more oxygen to the blood. Secretariat's 31 length romp in the Belmont Stakes is attributed to him having this pedigree trait! After his death an autopsy was done and it was determined that his heart weighed 22 lbs. The normal thoroughbred heart weighs 8 lbs.

Did  you know that 20 of the past 28 Derby(s) a horse with Buckpasser in the proper position of their bloodline Won or Came in 2nd? (12 of those won)?

Last year American Pharoah and the 4th place finisher Frosted had this CRITICAL pedigree!

In 2010 BOTH Super Saver and Ice Box carried this bloodline.

In 2002 BOTH the winner & 2nd Place horses, War Emblem and Proud Citizen had the Buckpasser bloodlines and the Exacta paid $1,300 and the Trifecta was $18,373. The Derby winner paid $43.00 and the Place payoff for Proud Citizen was $24.60!

In 2003 BOTH the Derby winner and 2nd Place horses, Funny Cide and Empire Maker traced back to Buckpasser and the Exacta paid $97.00 Just imagine if you had made a $20 Exacta bet ... you would have gotten back $970.00! The winner Funny Cide paid $27.60 for every $2 wager.

In 2005, the year of the biggest upset in over 100 years (Giacomo won at 50-1) the 2nd Place horse Closing Argument had the Buckpasser bloodline and he paid $70.00. The Giacomo / Closing Argument Exacta paid $9,814.80!

In 2006 when Barbaro won, the 2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishers traced back to Buckpasser. Bluegrass Cat paid $28.40 to Place. The Exacta paid $587.00, Trifecta was $11,418.40 and with a deadheat for 4th, the Superfecta(s) paid $42,430.20 and $29,919.50!

Did You know  20 of the past 33 winners (61%) trace their broodmare sire line back to Princequillo, Nassrullah, Northern Dancer or Turn To.

7 of the last 13 Derby winners had this pedigree. American Pharoah (2015),  Super Saver (2010), Big Brown (2008), Street Sense (2007), Giacomo (2005), Funny Cide (2003) and Monarchos (2001).

That is correct the 50-1 winner Giacomo had the broodmare sire bloodline of Turn-To.

In 2003 ALL 4 of the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishers had this pedigree bloodline. The Exacta paid $97.00, Trifecta was $664.80 and the Superfecta paid $2,795.80.

Do you think it would be advantageous to your handicapping process to know which Kentucky Derby runners had these pedigree lines?

Of course you do!

Again pedigree is MOST important when selecting your Derby horses. It proves itself year after year after year. Yet Millions of dollars are wagered every year on horses that do NOT have the pedigree necessary to win the Kentucky Derby!

Winning Derby Profile

If you do not know how to determine a horse's bloodlines that are necessary for winning the Kentucky Derby which requires a horse to have the stamina to last the 1 1/4 Mile distance, then you need to get the Proven Winning Derby Profile now!

2016 Edition is Available to Purchase and Download Now!


With the 20 horse field size of the Kentucky Derby, the chances of seeing a major upset with longshot runners finishing in the top 4 are very, very high!

Thus we ALL will have an opportunity to cash-in with a possible life changing Trifecta or Superfecta winning ticket.

2005 Kentucky Derby Winner GiacomoRemember 2005 when Giacomo won at odds of 50-1 and the $2 Exacta paid $9,814, the Trifecta gave back $133,134 and the $1 Superfecta paid a life changing $864,353?

The Proven Winning Derby Profile identified Giacomo as one of the MOST LIKELY horses to be in-the-money! He was not the top pick but was one of the main Contenders.

The 2005 payouts set all-time records with over $100 Million being wagered on the Derby race for the 1st time and the $864,253 payout for the $1 Superfecta set an all-time North American record.

The 10 year average for the Kentucky Derby payouts are :
  • the average $2 Win paid ........................  $26
  • the average $2 Exacta paid ..................... $509
  • the average $1 Trifecta paid ............. $3,829
  • the average $1 Superfecta paid .....  $59,249

The large payouts are a result of the large 20 horse field and the large number of once a year uninformed players betting on horses that have NO chance of finishing in the top 4.

One of the MOST CRITICAL factors in the Proven Winning Derby Profile  has identified 13 of the last 15 Kentucky Derby winners!

Yes, American Pharoah (2015), California Chrome (2014), Orb (2012), Animal Kingdom (2011), Super Saver (2010), Big Brown (2008), Street Sense (2007), Barbaro (2006), Giacomo (2005), Smarty Jones (2004), Funny Cide (2003), War Emblem (2002), Monarchos (2001) and Fusaichi Pegasus (200) ALL had this FACTOR in their favor ....

If you knew what this factor was, do you think you would have a MUCH BETTER chance in picking the Kentucky Derby Winner?

Of course you do!

We are the ONLY handicapping service that publishes the results of our Picks year after year after year online! You can see the results of our previous years Kentucky Derby Picks by clicking here

These uninformed, once a year players bet on the names of horses, the number of the horse or the jockey that is wearing their favorite color of silks and sometimes the jockey or trainer that won last year's Kentucky Derby!

Winning Derby Profile The secret to cracking the Kentucky Derby puzzle is arming yourself with better information so that you can separate the Derby Pretenders from the Derby Contenders serious and novice handicappers a much better opportunity to cash-in on those BIG payouts! . This provides both the

What is important is that you have a proven, thought out method of separating the Contenders from the Pretenders so that you can wager on the biggest horse race in America with CONFIDENCE!

The "Proven Winning Derby Profile" consists of the most critical FACTORS that have been found in Kentucky Derby winners over the past 27 years. These FACTORS prove themselves year-in and year-out to be the BEST method for ranking the Derby runners!


2016 Edition is Available to Order and Download Now!




 

Download FREE Wager Calculator!

Have you ever wished that you could easily calculate the cost of exotic wagering tickets before you placed the bet?

The Exotic Wager Calculator easily computes the cost of Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3, Pick 4. Pick 6 and High-5 tickets. It is a real time saver and a big help in deciding how many horses you want to use in the Exoctic wagers. 

To get your FREE copy of our Exotic Wager Calculator just fill in the form below ....

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Horse Players Association Do you feel that the horse racing industry takes WE the player for granted?

Then consider joining the Horse-players Association of North America (H.A.N.A.). Membership is FREE!

They are a grass roots Non Profit organization made up of horse-players just like you.

They are not happy with track management and horseman's groups. They are less than thrilled with what they are doing to the game that we love. Instead of promoting awareness of the sport and growing handle they have become bogged down with industry infighting and have completely forgotten something: The importance of the customer.

We are tired of the signal wars, exclusive ADW deals, excessive takeouts, breakage, trainers who are rewarded for cheating, an obsolete tote system, and an attitude that smacks of entitlement. We want open access to all track signals for all ADWs, takeouts that are competitive with other forms of gambling, the abolishment of breakage, severe penalties for trainers who cheat, and odds updates in real time.

But most of all we want those who run racing to recognize us. The player matters. The player is a stakeholder too. Without money bet by us players the game would cease to exist. We can effect change. We can bring racing back to the prominence it once held in people's hearts on a national level.

But it won't be easy and it won't come overnight. It's going to take vision, commitment, and effort. But change IS possible... IF we band together in numbers. We are an independent grass roots player's organization that desires change. Won't you join us?


 

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