2015 Kentucky Derby Logo

Countdown to the 2015 Kentucky Derby!

the 1st Saturday in May will be here Sooner than You Think .....



Will This be the Year we get a Triple Crown Winner?
(it is 37 years and counting since the last!)
triple crown flowers 2015


kentucky derby logo
 
NEWS ALERTS:  American Pharoah Works Bullet 5F in :58 2/5 at Churchill
 
Wins Santa Anita Derby Wins the Wood Memorial Arkansas Derby Wins Kentucky Derby Prep raceWins Kentucky Prep race
 

 

To see the Kentucky Derby Points Leaderboard Kentucky Derby point leaders.

To see schedule - results of the 2015 Kentucky Derby prep races.

To see Future Wager Pool Entries and Odds Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pools.

The BIG-6 Kentucky Derby Prep Races are Over and ....

There were NO big surprises as the favorites ALL ran well!

Here is how the favorites ran:

Louisiana Derby - favorite International Star won his 3rd straight Stakes race.

Florida Derby - Materiality won as the 2nd favorite over the favorite Upstart.

Santa Anita Derby - odds-on favorite Dortmund won and remained UNDEFEATED.

Wood Memorial - co-2nd favorite Frosted won as the other (2) favorites ran 3rd and 4th.

Arkansas Derby - the odds-on favorite American Pharaoh won and the 2nd favorite ran 2nd.

Blue Grass Stakes - the odds-on favorite Carpe Diem won the race in near wire-to-wire fashion.

In all of the Big-6 Kentucky Derby Prep races, the favorites have performed well. In addition,  most of them have been won on the front end with the winner going wire-to-wire or racing just 1 or 2 lengths behind!

Click here to watch video replays of the major Derby Prep races. 

In the words of Gary Stevens, "This is the best group of three-year-olds as a whole that I can remember, dating back to when I was a little kid".

When handicapping the Kentucky Derby, we know from past experience that MOST Derbies are won by a closer coming from far behind!

But this year the field is looking like we have 12 of 20 possible starters that like to run on the front end or pressing the front runners ...... this could result in CHAOS when they hit the top of the stretch!

All of this makes it very difficult to handicap the Kentucky Derby on the 1st Saturday in May!

American Pharoah will not win kentucky derbyClick the YouTube Button to Watch our video "Why American Pharoah will NOT win the 2015 Kentucky Derby"

What is important is that you have a proven, thoughtout method of separating the Contenders from the Pretenders so that you can wager on the biggest horse race in America with CONFIDENCE!

The "Proven Winning Derby Profile" consists of the most critical FACTORS that have been found in Kentucky Derby winners over the past 26 years. These FACTORS prove themselves year-in and year-out to be the BEST method for ranking the Derby runners!

You can see the results of our picks over the past 12 years right here on our site. We are the ONLY handicapping service that publishes a history of the results of our picks and analysis!



Horses Off the Derby Trail

*  Leave the Light On, Barbados, Calculator, Khozan, Texas Red, Far From Over, Prospect Park, One Lucky Dane, Madefromlucky  *


Winning Derby Profile The major Derby Prep races will create a lot of questions during the lead up to May 2 and will leave us all confused!
 
One thing that does not change very much over the years is the Proven Winning Derby Profile.
 
Year-in and year-out, the Winning Derby Profile proves itself. The Winning Profile consists of the horse's 2-year old and 3-year old racing campaigns and their pedigree.
 
Yes, a horse can have raced too much or too little in their 2 and 3-year old campaigns.
 
If the horse does not have the proper amount of conditioning and experience, it becomes just too difficultt for them to win the difficult 1 1/4 Mile distance of the Kentucky Derby!

In 2010 the "Proven Winning Profile" ranked Ice Box as the top choice closely followed by Super Saver.

Because of the wet track Ice Box was not able to make up enough ground in the stretch run and finished 2nd to Super Saver! A $10 Exacta Box paid $380.
 
Pedigree is also critical to having a legitimate shot at winning the Kentucky Derby.
 
 Buckpasser, War Admiral, Mahmoud, Nassrullah, Raise A Native, Phalaris are ALL critical bloodlines to have, if you want to win the 1 1/4 Mile distance of the Kentucky Derby as a 3-year old!
 

Did you know that 35 of the last 53 1st or 2nd place finishers had the passing of the X-Chromosomes of War Admiral or Mahmoud in the correct position for inheritance?

It even gets better ... 17 of the last 18 Derby winners had this powerful pedigree!

In 11 of the past 12 Kentucky Derby(s) the Winner had the "Large-Heart" trait. That is correct, California Chrome (2014 - $7.00), Orb (2013 - $12.80), Animal Kingdom (2011 - $43.80), Super Saver (2010 - $18.00), Big Brown (2008 - $6.80), Street Sense (2007 - $11.80), 2006 (Barbaro - $14.20), 2004 (Smarty Jones - $10.20), 2003 (Funny Cide - $27.60), 2002 (War Emblem - $43.00), 2001 (Monarchos - $23.00).

Only Giacomo (50-1) in 2005 did not carry this pedigree trail!

Last year BOTH California Chrome and Commanding Curve had the "Large-Heart" pedigree trait. The Exacta paid $340.

In 2013 the top (3) finishers ALL had the "Large-Heart" pedigree trait. The Exacta paid $981 and the $1 Trifecta paid $3,463!

In 2010 the 4 Top finishers ALL had the X-Chromosome of War Admiral or Mahmoud. The Trifecta paid $1,169 for a $1 wager and the $1 Superfecta paid a whopping $101,285! 

In 2008 the 1st, 2nd and 3rd place runners ALL had the X-Chromosome of War Admiral or Mahmoud. The Trifecta paid $3,445.60!

In 2002 ALL 4 of the top finishers had the "Large-Heart" trait in their pedigree. The Exacta paid $1,300, Trifecta was $18,373 and the Superfecta returned $91,764 ......... 

The X-Chromosome is known as the "Large-Heart" trait which allows for pumping more oxygen to the blood. Secretariat's 31 length romp in the Belmont Stakes is attributed to him having this
pedigree trait! After his death an autopsy was done and it was determined that his heart weighed 22 lbs. The normal thoroughbred heart weighs 8 lbs.

Did  you know that 19 of the past 27 Derby(s) a horse with Buckpasser in the proper position of their bloodline Won or Came in 2nd? (11 of those won)?

Last year BOTH California Chrome and Commanding Curve had this CRITICAL pedigree!

In 2010 BOTH Super Saver and Ice Box carried this bloodline.

In 2002 BOTH the winner & 2nd Place horses, War Emblem and Proud Citizen had the Buckpasser bloodlines and the Exacta paid $1,300 and the Trifecta was $18,373. The Derby winner paid $43.00 and the Place payoff for Proud Citizen was $24.60!

In 2003 BOTH the Derby winner and 2nd Place horses, Funny Cide and Empire Maker traced back to Buckpasser and the Exacta paid $97.00 Just imagine if you had made a $20 Exacta bet ... you would have gotten back $970.00! The winner Funny Cide paid $27.60 for every $2 wager.

In 2005, the year of the biggest upset in over 100 years (Giacomo won at 50-1) the 2nd Place horse Closing Argument had the Buckpasser bloodline and he paid $70.00. The Giacomo / Closing Argument Exacta paid $9,814.80!

In 2006 when Barbaro won, the 2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishers traced back to Buckpasser. Bluegrass Cat paid $28.40 to Place. The Exacta paid $587.00, Trifecta was $11,418.40 and with a deadheat for 4th, the Superfecta(s) paid $42,430.20 and $29,919.50!

Did You know  19 of the past 32 winners (60%) trace their broodmare sire line back to Princequillo, Nassrullah, Northern Dancer or Turn To.

6 of the last 12 Derby winners had this pedigree. Super Saver (2010), Big Brown (2008), Street Sense (2007), Giacomo (2005), Funny Cide (2003) and Monarchos (2001).

That is correct the 50-1 winner Giacomo had the broodmare sire bloodline of Turn-To.

In 2003 ALL 4 of the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishers had this pedigree bloodline. The Exacta paid $97.00, Trifecta was $664.80 and the Superfecta paid $2,795.80.

Do you think it would be advantageous to your handicapping process to know which Kentucky Derby runners had these pedigree lines?

Of course you do!

Again pedigree is MOST important when selecting your Derby horses. It proves itself year after year after year. Yet Millions of dollars are wagered every year on horses that do NOT have the pedigree necessary to win the Kentucky Derby!

Winning Derby Profile

If you do not know how to determine a horse's bloodlines that are necessary for winning the Kentucky Derby which requires a horse to have the stamina to last the 1 1/4 Mile distance, then you need to get the Proven Winning Derby Profile now!


Available to Order and Download Now!


Kentucky Derby at TwinSpires.com

With the 20 horse field size of the Kentucky Derby, the chances of seeing a major upset with longshot runners finishing in the top 4 are very, very high!

Thus we ALL will have an opportunity to cash-in with a possible life changing Trifecta or Superfecta winning ticket.

2005 Kentucky Derby Winner GiacomoRemember 2005 when Giacomo won at odds of 50-1 and the $2 Exacta paid $9,814, the Trifecta gave back $133,134 and the $1 Superfecta paid a life changing $864,353?

The Proven Winning Derby Profile identified Giacomo as one of the MOST LIKELY horses to be in-the-money! He was not the top pick but was one of the main Contenders.

The 2005 payouts set all-time records with over $100 Million being wagered on the Derby race for the 1st time and the $864,253 payout for the $1 Superfecta set an all-time North American record.

The 10 year average for the Kentucky Derby payouts are :
  • the average $2 Win paid ........................  $35
  • the average $2 Exacta paid .................. $1,483
  • the average $1 Trifecta paid .............. $10,482
  • the average $1 Superfecta paid ..... $145,611

The large payouts are a result of the large 20 horse field and the large number of once a year uninformed players betting on horses that have NO chance of finishing in the top 4.

One of the MOST CRITICAL factors in the Proven Winning Derby Profile  has identified 12 of the last 14 Kentucky Derby winners!

Yes, California Chrome (2014), Orb (2012), Animal Kingdom (2011), Super Saver (2010), Big Brown (2008), Street Sense (2007), Barbaro (2006), Giacomo (2005), Smarty Jones (2004), Funny Cide (2003), War Emblem (2002), Monarchos (2001) and Fusaichi Pegasus (200) ALL had this FACTOR in their favor ....

If you knew what this factor was, do you think you would have a MUCH BETTER chance in picking the Kentucky Derby Winner?

Of course you do!

We are the ONLY handicapping service that publishes the results of our Picks year after year after year online! You can see the results of our previous years Kentucky Derby Picks by clicking here

These uninformed, once a year players bet on the names of horses, the number of the horse or the jockey that is wearing their favorite color of silks and sometimes the jockey or trainer that won last year's Kentucky Derby!

Winning Derby Profile The secret to cracking the Kentucky Derby puzzel is arming yourself with better information so that you can separate the Derby Pretenders from the Derby Contenders . This provides both the serious and novice handicappers a much better opportunity to cash-in on those BIG payouts!





Available to Order and Download Now!






 

Download FREE Wager Calculator!

Have you ever wished that you could easily calculate the cost of exotic wagering tickets before you placed the bet?

The Exotic Wager Calculator easily computes the cost of Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3, Pick 4. Pick 6 and High-5 tickets. It is a real time saver and a big help in deciding how many horses you want to use in the Exoctic wagers. 

To get your FREE copy of our Exotic Wager Calculator just fill in the form below ....

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TwinSpires
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Then consider joining the Horse-players Association of North America (H.A.N.A.). Membership is FREE!

They are a grass roots Non Profit organization made up of horse-players just like you.

They are not happy with track management and horseman's groups. They are less than thrilled with what they are doing to the game that we love. Instead of promoting awareness of the sport and growing handle they have become bogged down with industry infighting and have completely forgotten something: The importance of the customer.

We are tired of the signal wars, exclusive ADW deals, excessive takeouts, breakage, trainers who are rewarded for cheating, an obsolete tote system, and an attitude that smacks of entitlement. We want open access to all track signals for all ADWs, takeouts that are competitive with other forms of gambling, the abolishment of breakage, severe penalties for trainers who cheat, and odds updates in real time.

But most of all we want those who run racing to recognize us. The player matters. The player is a stakeholder too. Without money bet by us players the game would cease to exist. We can effect change. We can bring racing back to the prominence it once held in people's hearts on a national level.

But it won't be easy and it won't come overnight. It's going to take vision, commitment, and effort. But change IS possible... IF we band together in numbers. We are an independent grass roots player's organization that desires change. Won't you join us?


 

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