Kentucky Derby Time is Here!
the 1st Saturday in May will be here
Sooner than You Think .....
Will This be the Year we get a Triple
(it is 37 years and counting since the last!)
Road to the Kentucky
In the just completed Derby Prep races we
saw Far Right win again
along the rail with Mike Smith aboard over a sloppy track in the Southwest
Stakes at Oaklawn Park.
The Fountain of Youth Stakes at
Park Upstart won in a battle to the
wire with Itsaknockout but was DQ'd
for interferring with the 2nd place runner and placed in second!
Nick Zito made his presence noticed when his 63-1 shot, Frammento got
up for 3rd!
In the Risen Star Stakes at the
Fairgrounds, Ken Ramsey's
won from off the pace beating War
Story. This was a repeat of the Lecomte Stakes when they also
1-2. International Star is looking like a real Kentucky Derby
player and Ramsey's best shot at winning a Triple Crown race!
Next up on the Road to the Kentucky Derby
are the Gotham, San Felipe Stakes and Tampa Bay Derby on March
schedule - results of the 2015 Kentucky Derby prep races.
Future Wager Pool Entries and Odds Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pools.
Kentucky Derby Points Based Entry System
With the NEW Points
based system, the Road to the Kentucky Derby actually began last
September with the running of the Iroquois run at Churchill
After 27 years of using
the graded stakes earnings system to determine the 20 horse Derby
field, 2013 was the first year Churchill Downs switched to the tiered
system that would be accumulated over a 34 race series. The previous
system include 185 Graded Stakes races where earnings could be
The new system
de-values the 2-year old racing campaign and places more value in the
final prep races know as the Big 6. However missing from the Big 6 is
the Illinois Derby
which produced Kentucky Derby winner War Emblem in 2002. The
Point system also eliminates sprint races from the prep races (which is
a good thing)!
Point system has been divided into 4 segments. They are the Prep Season
with 18 races, Championship Series Leg I with 8 races, Championship
Series Leg II with 7 races and the Wild Card with 1 race.
The Prep Series awards
10-4-2-1 points for 1st - 4th finishing positions, the Championship
Series Leg 1 awards 50-20-10-5 points, Leg II awards 100-40-20-10 and
the Wild Card race gives 10-4-2-1 points.
Winners and 2nd place
finishers will determine most of the 20 horse starting field in the
Kentucky Derby. It is projected that if you have accumulated 40 points
or more, you will be in the starting gate on the first Saturday in May
at Churchill Downs!
Of course there are
always some defections, for various reasons, from the top 20 which then
allows the horse(s) with the next highest points to get in.
However, it is
not necessary to win one of those 15 races to get in. By finishing 2nd
or 3rd in multiple prep-races you should earn enough points to finish
in the top 20!
In 2010 the Kentucky
Derby winner Super Saver
did not win any of the 3-year old Prep-races but still had enough
earnings by finishing 2nd in the Arkansas Derby after having won the KY
Cup Juvenile in his 2-year old campaign. He would still make the Derby
field under the new Points system!
Other recent Kentucky
Derby winners who did not have a 3-year old Prep-race win are Mine That Bird (50-1), Giacomo (50-1) and Funny Cide (12-1) ... ALL
of whom would still make the Kentucky Derby starting gate in under the
new Point system!
Horses Off the Derby
Leave the Light On, Barbados, Calculator *
This is the second year
Downs has increased the number of Future Wager Pools from 3 to 4. They
added an Early pool to kick off in November. The Pool(s)open on Friday
at Noon and close on Sunday at 6:00pm.
2 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager closed with $448,598
being wagered in both the Win Pool and Exacta Pool. The "Field"
closed as the (5/2) favorite. Next was Texas Red
at (9-1) followed by American
Pharoah (10-1) and Dortman (10-1).
Click here to watch
replays of the major Derby Prep races.
The major Derby Prep races
will create a lot of questions during the lead up to May 2 and will
leave us all confused!
One thing that does not
change very much over the years is the Proven Winning Derby Profile.
Year-in and year-out,
the Winning Derby Profile
proves itself. The Winning Profile consists of the horse's 2-year old
and 3-year old racing campaigns and their pedigree.
Yes, a horse can have
raced too much or too little in their 2 and
3-year old campaigns.
If the horse does not
have the proper amount of conditioning and experience, it becomes just too difficultt for them to
win the difficult 1 1/4 Mile distance of the Kentucky Derby!
In 2010 the "Proven Winning Profile"
ranked Ice Box as the
top choice closely followed by Super
Because of the wet
track Ice Box was not
able to make up enough ground in the stretch run and finished 2nd to Super Saver! A $10 Exacta Box paid
Pedigree is also
critical to having a legitimate shot at winning the Kentucky Derby.
Admiral, Mahmoud, Nassrullah, Raise A Native, Phalaris are ALL critical bloodlines to
have, if you want to win the 1 1/4 Mile distance of the Kentucky Derby
as a 3-year old!
you know that 35 of the last 53 1st or 2nd place finishers had
the passing of the X-Chromosomes of War Admiral or Mahmoud in the
correct position for inheritance?
In 11 of the past 12
Kentucky Derby(s) the Winner had the "Large-Heart" trait. That is
correct, California Chrome (2014 - $7.00), Orb (2013 - $12.80), Animal
Kingdom (2011 - $43.80), Super
Saver (2010 - $18.00), Big Brown (2008 - $6.80), Street Sense (2007 -
$11.80), 2006 (Barbaro - $14.20), 2004 (Smarty Jones - $10.20), 2003
(Funny Cide - $27.60), 2002 (War Emblem - $43.00), 2001 (Monarchos -
Last year BOTH California Chrome and Commanding Curve had the
pedigree trait. The Exacta paid $340.
In 2013 the top (3)
finishers ALL had the "Large-Heart" pedigree trait. The Exacta paid
$981 and the $1 Trifecta paid $3,463!
In 2010 the 4 Top
finishers ALL had the X-Chromosome of War
Admiral or Mahmoud. The Trifecta paid $1,169 for a $1 wager and the $1
Superfecta paid a whopping $101,285!
In 2008 the 1st, 2nd
and 3rd place runners ALL had the X-Chromosome of War Admiral or
Mahmoud. The Trifecta paid $3,445.60!
2002 ALL 4 of the top finishers had the "Large-Heart" trait in their
pedigree. The Exacta paid $1,300, Trifecta was $18,373 and the
Superfecta returned $91,764 .........
The X-Chromosome is
known as the "Large-Heart" trait which allows for pumping more oxygen
to the blood. Secretariat's
31 length romp in the Belmont Stakes is attributed to him having this
pedigree trait! After his death an autopsy was done and it was
determined that his heart weighed 22 lbs. The normal thoroughbred heart
weighs 8 lbs.
you know that 19 of the past 27 Derby(s) a horse with Buckpasser in the proper
position of their bloodline Won or Came in 2nd? (11 of those won)?
Last year BOTH California Chrome and Commanding Curve had this
In 2010 BOTH Super
Saver and Ice Box carried this bloodline.
In 2002 BOTH the winner
& 2nd Place horses, War Emblem and Proud Citizen had the Buckpasser
bloodlines and the Exacta paid $1,300 and the Trifecta was $18,373. The
Derby winner paid $43.00 and the Place payoff for Proud Citizen was
In 2003 BOTH the Derby winner
and 2nd Place horses, Funny Cide and Empire Maker traced back to Buckpasser and the Exacta paid
$97.00 Just imagine if you had made a $20 Exacta bet ... you would have
gotten back $970.00! The winner Funny Cide paid $27.60 for every $2
In 2005, the year of
the biggest upset in over 100 years (Giacomo won at 50-1) the 2nd Place
horse Closing Argument had the Buckpasser
bloodline and he paid $70.00. The Giacomo / Closing Argument Exacta
In 2006 when Barbaro won, the
2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishers traced back to Buckpasser. Bluegrass
Cat paid $28.40 to Place. The Exacta paid $587.00, Trifecta was
$11,418.40 and with a deadheat for 4th, the Superfecta(s) paid
$42,430.20 and $29,919.50!
You know 19 of the past 32 winners (60%) trace their
broodmare sire line back to Princequillo, Nassrullah, Northern Dancer
or Turn To.
6 of the last 12 Derby winners had
this pedigree. Super Saver (2010), Big Brown (2008), Street Sense
(2007), Giacomo (2005), Funny Cide (2003) and Monarchos (2001).
That is correct the 50-1 winner Giacomo
had the broodmare sire bloodline of Turn-To.
In 2003 ALL 4 of the
1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishers had this pedigree bloodline. The
Exacta paid $97.00, Trifecta was $664.80 and the Superfecta paid
you think it would be advantageous to your handicapping process to know
which Kentucky Derby runners had these pedigree lines?
course you do!
Again pedigree is MOST important
when selecting your Derby horses. It proves itself year after year
after year. Yet Millions of dollars are wagered every year on horses
that do NOT have the pedigree necessary to win the Kentucky Derby!
If you do not know how
to determine a horse's bloodlines that are necessary for winning the
Kentucky Derby which requires a horse to have the stamina to last the 1
1/4 Mile distance, then you need to get the Proven Winning Derby Profile now!
With the 20 horse field
size of the Kentucky Derby, the chances of seeing a major upset with longshot
runners finishing in the top 4 are very, very high!
Thus we ALL will have an
opportunity to cash-in with a possible life changing Trifecta or
2005 when Giacomo won at odds
of 50-1 and the $2 Exacta paid $9,814, the Trifecta
gave back $133,134
and the $1 Superfecta paid a life
Winning Derby Profile identified Giacomo as one of
the MOST LIKELY horses to be in-the-money! He was not the top pick but
was one of the main Contenders.
2005 payouts set all-time records with over $100 Million being wagered
on the Derby race for the 1st time and the $864,253 payout for the $1
Superfecta set an all-time North American record.
10 year average for the Kentucky Derby payouts are :
- the average $2 Win paid
- the average $2
Exacta paid .................. $1,483
- the average $1
Trifecta paid .............. $10,482
- the average $1
Superfecta paid ..... $145,611
The large payouts are a
result of the large 20 horse field and the large number of once a year uninformed players betting
on horses that have NO chance of finishing in the top 4.
One of the MOST CRITICAL
factors in the Proven
Winning Derby Profile has identified 12 of the last
14 Kentucky Derby winners!
California Chrome (2014), Orb (2012), Animal Kingdom (2011), Super
Saver (2010), Big Brown (2008), Street
Sense (2007), Barbaro (2006), Giacomo (2005), Smarty Jones (2004),
Funny Cide (2003), War Emblem (2002), Monarchos (2001) and Fusaichi
Pegasus (200) ALL had
this FACTOR in their
If you knew what this
factor was, do you think you would have a MUCH BETTER chance in picking
the Kentucky Derby Winner?
Of course you do!
We are the ONLY
handicapping service that publishes the results of our Picks year after
year after year online! You
can see the results of our previous years Kentucky
Picks by clicking here
once a year players bet on the names of horses, the number of the horse
or the jockey that is wearing their favorite color of silks and
sometimes the jockey or trainer that won last year's Kentucky Derby!
secret to cracking the Kentucky Derby puzzel is arming yourself with
better information so that you can separate the Derby Pretenders from
the Derby Contenders
. This provides both the serious
and novice handicappers
a much better opportunity to cash-in on those BIG payouts!
Download FREE Wager
Have you ever wished
that you could easily calculate the cost of exotic wagering tickets
before you placed the bet?
The Exotic Wager
Calculator easily computes the cost of Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta,
Pick 3, Pick 4. Pick 6 and High-5 tickets. It is a real time saver and
a big help in deciding how many horses you want to use in the Exoctic
To get your FREE copy
of our Exotic Wager Calculator just fill in the form below ....
Do you feel that the horse racing industry
takes WE the player for granted?
Then consider joining
the Horse-players Association of North America (H.A.N.A.). Membership
They are a grass roots
Non Profit organization made up of horse-players just like you.
They are not happy with
track management and horseman's groups. They are less than thrilled
with what they are doing to the game that we love. Instead of promoting
awareness of the sport and growing handle they have become bogged down
with industry infighting and have completely forgotten something: The
importance of the customer.
We are tired of the
signal wars, exclusive ADW deals, excessive takeouts, breakage,
trainers who are rewarded for cheating, an obsolete tote system, and an
attitude that smacks of entitlement. We want open access to all track
signals for all ADWs, takeouts that are competitive with other forms of
gambling, the abolishment of breakage, severe penalties for trainers
who cheat, and odds updates in real time.
most of all we want
those who run racing to recognize us. The player matters. The player is
a stakeholder too. Without money bet by us players the game would cease
to exist. We can effect change. We can bring racing back to the
prominence it once held in people's hearts on a national level.
But it won't be easy
and it won't come overnight. It's going to take vision, commitment, and
effort. But change IS possible... IF we band together in numbers. We
are an independent grass roots player's organization that desires
change. Won't you join us?
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