Handicapping the 2017
the 1st Saturday in May will be here
Sooner than You Think .....
Will we get another Triple
to see 2017 Kentucky Derby Prep Race Schedule
to see 2017 Kentucky Derby Points Leader
ALERTS: Arrogate Wins $10M Dubai World Cup....
Thunder Snow (Ire) Wins U.A.E.
Derby & 100 Points
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Wins Spiral S. .....
Sunland Derby .....
Kentucky Derby Points Based Entry System
With the NEW Points
based system, the Road to the Kentucky Derby actually began last
September with the running of the Iroquois at Churchill
After 28 years of using
the graded stakes earnings system to determine the 20 horse Derby
field, 2013 was the first year Churchill Downs switched to the tiered
system that would be accumulated over a 35 race series. The previous
system include 185 Graded Stakes races where earnings could be
In those four
years, the Point System has produced four post time FAVORITES as the
Kentucky Derby winner!
Prior to that there were ONLY 3 winning Favorites in the most recent 12
The Point system
de-values the 2-year old racing campaign and places more value in the
final prep races known as the Big 6. However missing from the Big 6 is
the Illinois Derby
which produced Kentucky Derby winner War Emblem in 2002 and
taking it's place is the Louisiana
Point system also eliminates sprint races from the prep races (which may NOT have been a good thing)!
Point system has been divided into 3 segments. They are the Prep Season
with 19 races, Championship Series with 15 races and the Wild Card with
The Prep Series awards
10-4-2-1 points for 1st - 4th finishing positions, (with the exception of the BC-Juvenile
which gets 20-8-4-2), (8) of the
Series races awards 50-20-10-5 points and (7) races at 100-40-20-10
points. The Wild Card race awards just 10-4-2-1 points.
this year is the "Japan Road to the Derby" races. One spot in the
Kentucky Derby field will be reserved for the Top Point earner in a two
race series held in Japan. If none of the Japan horses come over to
run, their reserved spot will revert back to the U.S. Points
Winners and 2nd place
finishers will determine most of the 20 horse starting field in the
Kentucky Derby. It is projected that if you have accumulated 40 points
or more, you will be in the starting gate on the first Saturday in May
at Churchill Downs!
Of course there are
always some defections, for various reasons, from the top 20 which then
allows those horse(s) with the next highest points to get in.
However, it is
not necessary to win one of those 15 big prep races to get in. By
or 3rd in just 1 or 2 prep-races you should earn enough points to
in the top 20.
In 2010 the Kentucky
Derby winner Super Saver
did not win any of the 3-year old Prep-races but still had enough
earnings by finishing 2nd in the Arkansas Derby after having won the KY
Cup Juvenile in his 2-year old campaign. He would still make the Derby
field under the new Points system!
Other recent Kentucky
Derby winners who did not have a 3-year old Prep-race win are Mine That Bird (50-1), Giacomo (50-1) and Funny Cide (12-1) ... ALL
of whom would still make the Kentucky Derby starting gate in under the
new Point system!
Horses Off the Derby
Mastery, Not This Time, Klimit *
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pools
For the second year,
Downs added a Wager Pool based on Sires of whom ever the
be! It also has 24 entries with "All Others" being the 24th.
3 of the
Kentucky Derby Future Wager closed with $373,354 having been
wagered which was a 14% increase over last year's Pool 3. Once
favorite was "The
at (5-1). Next was McCraken
at (6-1) followed by Irish War Cry
(7-1) and Mastery (8-1).
2 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager closed with $330,042
being wagered in both the Win Pool and Exacta Pool. The "Field"
closed as the (5/2) favorite. Next was Classic
followed by Mastery (9-1) and McCracken
Pool of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager closed with $30,870
The "All Others" closed as the favorite
at (7/2). Pioneerof
the Nile finished as the
favorite at (5-1) followed by Uncle Mo at (9-1) followed
Ride (Arg) (9-1) and Ghostzapper (12-1).
1 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager closed with $162,870
The "Field" closed as the odds on
favorite at (6/5). Classic Empire finished as the 2nd
favorite at (6-1) followed by Mastery at (10-1) followed
by McCraken (12-1) and Mo Town (12-1). Click here
to see a complete list of the final
Pool 1 Derby Future Wager odds.
Click here to watch
replays of the major Kentucky Derby Prep races.
The major Derby
will create a lot of questions during the lead up to May 6 and will
leave us all confused!
One thing that does not
change very much over the years is the Proven Winning Derby Profile.
Year-in and year-out,
the Winning Derby Profile
proves itself. The Winning Profile consists of the horse's 2-year old
and 3-year old racing campaigns and their pedigree.
Yes, a horse can have
raced too much or too little in their 2 and
3-year old campaigns.
If the horse does not
have the proper amount of conditioning and experience, it becomes just too difficult for them to
win the difficult 1 1/4 Mile distance of the Kentucky Derby! (however this is changing somewhat with
the new Point system)
In 2010 the "Proven Winning Profile"
ranked Ice Box as the
top choice closely followed by Super
Because of the wet
track Ice Box was not
able to make up enough ground in the stretch run and finished 2nd to Super Saver! A $10 Exacta Box paid
critical to having a legitimate shot at winning the Kentucky Derby.
Admiral, Mahmoud, Nassrullah, Raise A Native, Phalaris are ALL critical bloodlines to
have, if you want to win the 1 1/4 Mile distance of the Kentucky Derby
as a 3-year old!
you know that 38 of the last 58 1st or 2nd place finishers had
the passing of the X-Chromosomes of War Admiral or Mahmoud in the
correct position for inheritance?
It even gets better ...
19 of the last 20 Derby winners had this powerful pedigree!
In 13 of the past 14
Kentucky Derby(s) the Winner had the "Large-Heart"
trait. That is
correct, Nyquist (2016 - $6.60), American Pharoah (2015 - $7.80),
California Chrome (2014 -
$7.00), Orb (2013 - $12.80), Animal
Kingdom (2011 - $43.80), Super
Saver (2010 - $18.00), Big Brown (2008 - $6.80), Street Sense (2007 -
$11.80), 2006 (Barbaro - $14.20), 2004 (Smarty Jones - $10.20), 2003
(Funny Cide - $27.60), 2002 (War Emblem - $43.00), 2001 (Monarchos -
(50-1) in 2005 did not
carry this pedigree
You Can Pre-Order the
2017 Edition Now!
Last year 3 of the top 4 finishers,
and Mohaymen had the
In 2015 American
Pharoah, Firing Line and Dortmund ALL had the "Large-Heart" pedigree
In 2013 the top (3)
finishers ALL had the "Large-Heart" pedigree trait. The Exacta paid
$981 and the $1 Trifecta paid $3,463!
In 2010 the 4 Top
finishers ALL had the X-Chromosome of War
Admiral or Mahmoud. The Trifecta paid $1,169 for a $1 wager and the $1
Superfecta paid a whopping $101,285!
In 2008 the 1st, 2nd
and 3rd place runners ALL had the X-Chromosome of War Admiral or
Mahmoud. The Trifecta paid $3,445.60!
2002 ALL 4 of the top finishers had the "Large-Heart" trait in their
pedigree. The Exacta paid $1,300, Trifecta was $18,373 and the
Superfecta returned $91,764 .........
The X-Chromosome is
known as the "Large-Heart" trait which allows for pumping more oxygen
to the blood. Secretariat's
31 length romp in the Belmont Stakes is attributed to him having this pedigree trait!
After his death
an autopsy was done and it was
determined that his heart weighed 22 lbs. The normal thoroughbred heart
weighs 8 lbs.
you know that 21 of the past 30 Derby(s) a horse with Buckpasser in the proper
position of their bloodline Won or Came in 2nd? (13 of those won)?
Last year Nyquist had this
In 2015 American Pharoah and the
4th place finisher Frosted
In 2010 BOTH Super
Saver and Ice Box carried this bloodline.
In 2002 BOTH the winner
& 2nd Place horses, War Emblem and Proud Citizen had the Buckpasser
bloodlines and the Exacta paid $1,300 and the Trifecta was $18,373. The
Derby winner paid $43.00 and the Place payoff for Proud Citizen was
In 2003 BOTH the Derby winner
and 2nd Place horses, Funny Cide and Empire Maker traced back to Buckpasser and the Exacta paid
$97.00 Just imagine if you had made a $20 Exacta bet ... you would have
gotten back $970.00! The winner Funny Cide paid $27.60 for every $2
In 2005, the year of
the biggest upset in over 100 years (Giacomo won at 50-1) the 2nd Place
horse Closing Argument had the Buckpasser
bloodline and he paid $70.00. The Giacomo / Closing Argument Exacta
In 2006 when Barbaro won, the
2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishers traced back to Buckpasser. Bluegrass
Cat paid $28.40 to Place. The Exacta paid $587.00, Trifecta was
$11,418.40 and with a deadheat for 4th, the Superfecta(s) paid
$42,430.20 and $29,919.50!
You know 21 of the past 34 winners (68%) trace
broodmare sire line back to Princequillo, Nassrullah, Northern Dancer
or Turn To.
8 of the last 14 Derby winners had
this pedigree. Nyquist (2016), American Pharoah (2015), Super
Saver (2010), Big
Brown (2008), Street Sense
(2007), Giacomo (2005), Funny Cide (2003) and Monarchos (2001).
That is correct the 50-1 winner Giacomo
had the broodmare sire bloodline of Turn-To.
Last year the top 4
finishers had this pedigree bloodline factor. The
Exacta paid $30.60, Trifecta was $173 and the Superfecta paid
In 2003 ALL 4 of the
1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishers also had this pedigree
Exacta paid $97.00, Trifecta was $664.80 and the Superfecta paid
you think it would be advantageous to your handicapping process to know
which Kentucky Derby runners had these pedigree lines?
course you do!
Again pedigree is MOST important
when selecting your Derby horses. It proves itself year after year
after year. Yet Millions of dollars are wagered every year on horses
that do NOT have the pedigree necessary to win the Kentucky Derby!
If you do not know how
to determine a horse's bloodlines that are necessary for winning the
Kentucky Derby which requires a horse to have the stamina to last the 1
1/4 Mile distance, then you need to get the Proven Winning Derby Profile now!
You Can Pre-Order the 2017 Edition
With the 20 horse field
size of the Kentucky Derby, the chances of seeing a major upset with longshot
runners finishing in the top 4 are very, very high!
Thus we ALL will have an
opportunity to cash-in with a possible life changing Trifecta or
2005 when Giacomo won at odds
of 50-1 and the $2 Exacta paid $9,814, the Trifecta
gave back $133,134
and the $1 Superfecta paid a life
Winning Derby Profile identified Giacomo as one of
the MOST LIKELY horses to be in-the-money! He was not the top pick but
was one of the main Contenders.
2005 payouts set all-time records with over $100 Million being wagered
on the Derby race for the 1st time and the $864,253 payout for the $1
Superfecta set an all-time North American record.
10 year average for the Kentucky Derby payouts are :
- the average $2 Win paid
- the average $2
Exacta paid .................. $1,483
- the average $1
Trifecta paid .............. $10,482
- the average $1
Superfecta paid ..... $145,611
large payouts are a
result of the large 20 horse field and the large number of once a year uninformed players betting
on horses that have NO chance of finishing in the top 4.
One of the MOST
factors in the Proven
Winning Derby Profile has identified 13 of the last
17 Kentucky Derby winners!
Nyquist (2016), American Pharoah (2015), California Chrome (2014), Orb
Kingdom (2011), Super
Saver (2010), Big Brown (2008), Street
Sense (2007), Barbaro (2006), Giacomo (2005), Smarty Jones (2004),
Funny Cide (2003), War Emblem (2002), Monarchos (2001) and Fusaichi
Pegasus (200) ALL had
this FACTOR in their
If you knew what this
factor was, do you think you would have a MUCH BETTER chance in picking
the Kentucky Derby Winner?
Of course you do!
We are the ONLY
handicapping service that publishes the results of our Picks year after
year after year online! You
can see the results of our previous years Kentucky
Derby Picks by clicking here
once a year players bet on the names of horses, the number of the horse
or the jockey that is wearing their favorite color of silks and
sometimes the jockey or trainer that won last year's Kentucky Derby!
secret to cracking the Kentucky Derby puzzle is arming yourself with
better information so that you can separate the Derby Pretenders from
and novice handicappers
a much better opportunity to cash-in on those BIG payouts!
. This provides both the
is important is that you have a proven, thought out method of
the Contenders from the Pretenders so that you can wager on the biggest
horse race in America with CONFIDENCE!
The "Proven Winning Derby Profile"
consists of the most critical FACTORS that have been found in Kentucky
Derby winners over the past 27 years. These FACTORS prove themselves
year-in and year-out to be the BEST method for ranking the Derby
You Can Pre-Order the 2017 Edition
Download FREE Wager
Have you ever wished
that you could easily calculate the cost of exotic wagering tickets
before you placed the bet?
The Exotic Wager
Calculator easily computes the cost of Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta,
Pick 3, Pick 4. Pick 6 and High-5 tickets. It is a real time saver and
a big help in deciding how many horses you want to use in the Exoctic
To get your FREE copy
of our Exotic Wager Calculator just fill in the form below ....
Do you feel that the horse racing industry
takes WE the player for granted?
Then consider joining
the Horse-players Association of North America (H.A.N.A.). Membership
They are a grass roots
Non Profit organization made up of horse-players just like you.
They are not happy with
track management and horseman's groups. They are less than thrilled
with what they are doing to the game that we love. Instead of promoting
awareness of the sport and growing handle they have become bogged down
with industry infighting and have completely forgotten something: The
importance of the customer.
We are tired of the
signal wars, exclusive ADW deals, excessive takeouts, breakage,
trainers who are rewarded for cheating, an obsolete tote system, and an
attitude that smacks of entitlement. We want open access to all track
signals for all ADWs, takeouts that are competitive with other forms of
gambling, the abolishment of breakage, severe penalties for trainers
who cheat, and odds updates in real time.
most of all we want
those who run racing to recognize us. The player matters. The player is
a stakeholder too. Without money bet by us players the game would cease
to exist. We can effect change. We can bring racing back to the
prominence it once held in people's hearts on a national level.
But it won't be easy
and it won't come overnight. It's going to take vision, commitment, and
effort. But change IS possible... IF we band together in numbers. We
are an independent grass roots player's organization that desires
change. Won't you join us?
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